[AGL] what fun!

Tue Sep 15 13:11:47 EDT 2020

Not hicks. They are usually the owners of large acreage ranches. The one
down the road is 6,000 acres. I wouldn't say they are hicks. One is an
architectural engineer and another is the chief of detectives SAPD. Another
is a Houston Oil man and his brother is a retired Marine fighter pilot.

On Tue, Sep 15, 2020 at 10:50 AM Frances Morey <frances.morey at gmail.com>
wrote:

> I know that people are hicks from the sticks in the mud when it comes to
> voting. Rick Perry refused to print up and distribute yard signs on the
> grounds that signs don't vote, people do. All these signs do is point out
> that there are authoritarian autocrats living on low density properties.
> I've always considered people who choose to live out in the middle of a big
> spread do so because they don't want the neighbors to know when they
> beat their wives.
> Best,
> Frances
>
> On Tue, Sep 15, 2020 at 9:16 AM Charles Loving <lovingigor at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> *Not so sure  that Biden will win. *
>> *His chances in rural Texas seem to be zip. I am not sure how you make
>> any predictions from the number of signs a candidate has? *
>> *Here in Real County, Uvalde County, and Edwards County there is no sign
>> that Biden even exists. Trump flags have been flying form those flagpoles
>> at ranch gates for months. Now there are, "This is Trump Country" signs in
>> downtown Leaky. Camp Wood is inundated with Trump 2020 signs. RockSprings
>> is also full of Trump signs. Nary a Wendy sign or a vote Blue. I admit that
>> these counties have small populations. Edwards County is the size of
>> Delaware with less than 2,000 people. Real County has nearly 3,000 people.
>> Uvalde is a city of 10,000 mostly Hispanics who will vote for Trump.  Del
>> Rio just may vote Biden but the county won't, Bracketville, Comstock etc
>> are all Trumpista strongholds. *
>>
>> *I look back at how Beto did. He came ever so close but it was the
>> Amarillios, Midland/Odessas, San Angelos and Lubbocks that overrode the
>> I-35 corridor liberals which included Harris County. The last democrat to
>> carry the presidential vote as you know was LBJ. *
>>
>> *As for burning down it may burn down no matter who wins. The Q people
>> are out there and nuts. Democrats eat babies as we all know. The Antifa who
>> are some sort of myth are out there as well. And you have the gun freaks
>> and evangelical racists as well as the BLM people. It actually could break
>> out into anarchy. At least in the urban areas there will be looting and
>> shooting. Out here not so much. Like a neighbor said a few days ago, "Lock
>> and load." I took his advice and cleaned my Mini 14 and Carbine. My wife
>> has a carry license and spent a few hours cleaning her 9MM and went to the
>> neighbors range and shot up a box of shells just to be proficient. You
>> never know what will come down the road here. *
>> *Last week the law enforcement guys chased some human traffickers on
>> River Head across the highway. Nathan, the sheriff of Real County came by
>> and had a cup and explained what had come down. He recommended that I keep
>> a firearm handy. He lives a few miles from here. For some reason out here I
>> know all the police people, DPS, Border Patrol and deputies all by name.
>> Quite different from when I lived in Austin. I knew all the cops in Real de
>> Catorce when I lived there as well.*
>>
>> On Tue, Sep 15, 2020 at 7:56 AM Hans-Peter OTTO <hpo.photog at gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> Thanks for posting Mike, and greetings to Madelon. Very interesting
>>> assessments! DT´s action regarding Corona are pitiful, inept and downright
>>> dangerous for Citizens. Vote him outa here!
>>>
>>>
>>> > On 15. Sep 2020, at 14:46, Michael Eisenstadt <eisenstadt0 at gmail.com>
>>> wrote:
>>> >
>>> > What fun! A presidential election.
>>> >
>>> > Prof. Alan Lichtman has successfully called recent elections and
>>> famously predicted that Trump would win in 2016.
>>> > Currently he predicts that Biden will win in a blow-out. His best
>>> indicator is the state of the economy. If the economy is doing poorly even
>>> a sitting president will lose. For example, Carter in 1980. Seeing as the
>>> economy was booming before the pandemic, that would have secured Trump's
>>> reelection. But the economy is not booming therefore Biden wins. Could be.
>>> Of course the pandemic might be a black swan effect.
>>> >
>>> > The Trafalgar Group, a polling company, also correctly predicted 2016.
>>> I have been checking their polls daily. They are only covering a select
>>> number of states. See attached. I am guessing that their rationale for this
>>> selection is that those states are the bellwethers of the outcome. Their
>>> earlier poll of Minnesota had Biden over Trump 49 to 44. Their later poll
>>> of Minnesota had Biden 46.9 to Trump 46.5 from some weeks ago.  Check the
>>> Trafalgar predictions yourself at https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
>>> >
>>> > If Trump carries the nothern tier of post-industrial states, Ohio,
>>> Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota - and all the red states in
>>> the south and mid-west, Florida, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas, Alabama, South
>>> Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska, Indiana, the
>>> Dakotas, Montana, Idaho he will be re-elected. Nevada is a toss-up which is
>>> why Trump just campaigned there. New Mexico, Colorado and Virginia will go
>>> for Biden.
>>> > The dates of these polls is significant.
>>> >
>>> > The Trafalgar Group just added a North Carolina presidential poll
>>> conducted 09/09/20 - 09/11/20, just a week ago. It has Trump at 47.8% and
>>> Biden at 46.1. If correct, as NC was a toss-up recently, it suggests that
>>> as the race is tightening up the trend is towards Trump.
>>> >
>>> > Trump voters are fully aware of Trump's glaring deficiencies, the most
>>> salient that he is a practiced liar. OTOH, of those issues Trump claims to
>>> be pursuing, these standout: no illegal immigration, winddown foreign wars,
>>> preside over booming economy, lower taxes, reduce needless bureaucratic
>>> regulation, pacifiy North Korea, reject the notion that the American polity
>>> practices systemic racism and others. Can it be that in spite of his
>>> offensive persona, voters will hold their nose and vote their interests and
>>> convictions?
>>> >
>>> > Wife Madelon is unhappy with Trump's laissez-faire attitude towards
>>> the environment. I keep reminding her that the US has reduced its carbon
>>> footprint very significantly in recent years: natural gas replacing coal,
>>> etc. And that it is India and China who are the world's great polluters.
>>> >
>>> > Biden has warned voters that if Trump is reelected, America witll burn
>>> down. Trump points out that forest management, i.e. removing the fuel, is
>>> the solution whether or not the climate is warming. We learn that feather
>>> Indians practiced forest managment to some extent before the palefaces came
>>> and that forest fires back then consumed far more acreage than the fires
>>> currently burning in the west.
>>> >
>>> > Thank you for your time.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > <Trafalgar.jpg>
>>>
>>>
>>
>> --
>> Charlie Loving
>>
>

-- 
Charlie Loving
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