[AGL] what fun!

[Frances Morey]

I know that people are hicks from the sticks in the mud when it comes to
voting. Rick Perry refused to print up and distribute yard signs on the
grounds that signs don't vote, people do. All these signs do is point out
that there are authoritarian autocrats living on low density properties.
I've always considered people who choose to live out in the middle of a big
spread do so because they don't want the neighbors to know when they
beat their wives.
Best,
Frances

On Tue, Sep 15, 2020 at 9:16 AM Charles Loving <lovingigor at gmail.com> wrote:

> *Not so sure  that Biden will win. *
> *His chances in rural Texas seem to be zip. I am not sure how you make any
> predictions from the number of signs a candidate has? *
> *Here in Real County, Uvalde County, and Edwards County there is no sign
> that Biden even exists. Trump flags have been flying form those flagpoles
> at ranch gates for months. Now there are, "This is Trump Country" signs in
> downtown Leaky. Camp Wood is inundated with Trump 2020 signs. RockSprings
> is also full of Trump signs. Nary a Wendy sign or a vote Blue. I admit that
> these counties have small populations. Edwards County is the size of
> Delaware with less than 2,000 people. Real County has nearly 3,000 people.
> Uvalde is a city of 10,000 mostly Hispanics who will vote for Trump.  Del
> Rio just may vote Biden but the county won't, Bracketville, Comstock etc
> are all Trumpista strongholds. *
>
> *I look back at how Beto did. He came ever so close but it was the
> Amarillios, Midland/Odessas, San Angelos and Lubbocks that overrode the
> I-35 corridor liberals which included Harris County. The last democrat to
> carry the presidential vote as you know was LBJ. *
>
> *As for burning down it may burn down no matter who wins. The Q people are
> out there and nuts. Democrats eat babies as we all know. The Antifa who are
> some sort of myth are out there as well. And you have the gun freaks and
> evangelical racists as well as the BLM people. It actually could break out
> into anarchy. At least in the urban areas there will be looting and
> shooting. Out here not so much. Like a neighbor said a few days ago, "Lock
> and load." I took his advice and cleaned my Mini 14 and Carbine. My wife
> has a carry license and spent a few hours cleaning her 9MM and went to the
> neighbors range and shot up a box of shells just to be proficient. You
> never know what will come down the road here. *
> *Last week the law enforcement guys chased some human traffickers on River
> Head across the highway. Nathan, the sheriff of Real County came by and had
> a cup and explained what had come down. He recommended that I keep a
> firearm handy. He lives a few miles from here. For some reason out here I
> know all the police people, DPS, Border Patrol and deputies all by name.
> Quite different from when I lived in Austin. I knew all the cops in Real de
> Catorce when I lived there as well.*
>
> On Tue, Sep 15, 2020 at 7:56 AM Hans-Peter OTTO <hpo.photog at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> Thanks for posting Mike, and greetings to Madelon. Very interesting
>> assessments! DT´s action regarding Corona are pitiful, inept and downright
>> dangerous for Citizens. Vote him outa here!
>>
>>
>> > On 15. Sep 2020, at 14:46, Michael Eisenstadt <eisenstadt0 at gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>> >
>> > What fun! A presidential election.
>> >
>> > Prof. Alan Lichtman has successfully called recent elections and
>> famously predicted that Trump would win in 2016.
>> > Currently he predicts that Biden will win in a blow-out. His best
>> indicator is the state of the economy. If the economy is doing poorly even
>> a sitting president will lose. For example, Carter in 1980. Seeing as the
>> economy was booming before the pandemic, that would have secured Trump's
>> reelection. But the economy is not booming therefore Biden wins. Could be.
>> Of course the pandemic might be a black swan effect.
>> >
>> > The Trafalgar Group, a polling company, also correctly predicted 2016.
>> I have been checking their polls daily. They are only covering a select
>> number of states. See attached. I am guessing that their rationale for this
>> selection is that those states are the bellwethers of the outcome. Their
>> earlier poll of Minnesota had Biden over Trump 49 to 44. Their later poll
>> of Minnesota had Biden 46.9 to Trump 46.5 from some weeks ago.  Check the
>> Trafalgar predictions yourself at https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
>> >
>> > If Trump carries the nothern tier of post-industrial states, Ohio,
>> Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota - and all the red states in
>> the south and mid-west, Florida, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas, Alabama, South
>> Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska, Indiana, the
>> Dakotas, Montana, Idaho he will be re-elected. Nevada is a toss-up which is
>> why Trump just campaigned there. New Mexico, Colorado and Virginia will go
>> for Biden.
>> > The dates of these polls is significant.
>> >
>> > The Trafalgar Group just added a North Carolina presidential poll
>> conducted 09/09/20 - 09/11/20, just a week ago. It has Trump at 47.8% and
>> Biden at 46.1. If correct, as NC was a toss-up recently, it suggests that
>> as the race is tightening up the trend is towards Trump.
>> >
>> > Trump voters are fully aware of Trump's glaring deficiencies, the most
>> salient that he is a practiced liar. OTOH, of those issues Trump claims to
>> be pursuing, these standout: no illegal immigration, winddown foreign wars,
>> preside over booming economy, lower taxes, reduce needless bureaucratic
>> regulation, pacifiy North Korea, reject the notion that the American polity
>> practices systemic racism and others. Can it be that in spite of his
>> offensive persona, voters will hold their nose and vote their interests and
>> convictions?
>> >
>> > Wife Madelon is unhappy with Trump's laissez-faire attitude towards the
>> environment. I keep reminding her that the US has reduced its carbon
>> footprint very significantly in recent years: natural gas replacing coal,
>> etc. And that it is India and China who are the world's great polluters.
>> >
>> > Biden has warned voters that if Trump is reelected, America witll burn
>> down. Trump points out that forest management, i.e. removing the fuel, is
>> the solution whether or not the climate is warming. We learn that feather
>> Indians practiced forest managment to some extent before the palefaces came
>> and that forest fires back then consumed far more acreage than the fires
>> currently burning in the west.
>> >
>> > Thank you for your time.
>> >
>> >
>> > <Trafalgar.jpg>
>>
>>
>
> --
> Charlie Loving
>
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