CAFI Newsletter #200

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CAFI Newsletter
            200th Issue!     Friday, September 3, 2004=20

              1.. SOLANA'S SOLICITUDE=20
              2.. DISENGAGING FROM ILLUSIONS=20
              3.. LOOK WHO WANTS BUSH TO LOSE=20
              4.. THE AIPAC KERFUFFLE=20
              5.. QUOTES AND QUICK NOTES=20
              6.. HIGHLIGHT ARTICLES=20
          =20


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      1.   SOLANA'S SOLICITUDE
      Jerusalem Post Editorial - August 31, 2004=20
      The tragic fact of yesterday's double suicide bus bombings in =
Beersheba is that 16 people lost their lives, and another 15 nearly did. =
The significant fact is that this is the first suicide bombing since =
March. If the bombing marks the end of a remarkably long quiet spell, it =
also indicates the progress we have achieved.=20

      Let's remind ourselves - or rather, the wider world - of where we =
were 30 months ago, on the eve of Operation Defensive Shield: terrorist =
attacks nearly every day, sometimes twice a day. Yet when Israel =
launched its invasion of the West Bank, the sage men of the world =
assured us it would fail. "For Mr. Sharon," sniffed New York Times =
columnist Nicholas Kristof, "tanks seem to work no better in the West =
Bank than they did in Lebanon."=20

      As it turned out, however, the tanks did work, as did the targeted =
assassinations and all the other counter-terror and counter-insurgency =
tactics developed by the IDF and Shin Bet. So too did the security =
fence: The telling fact about yesterday's attack is that the attackers =
arrived in Beersheba from Hebron, unimpeded by the fence. Had the fence =
been there, it's doubtful they would have penetrated.=20

      By now, it's too late for the International Court of Justice to =
take this fact into consideration - not that they would have done so =
anyway. It's also too late for the European Union, which instead offered =
Israel a five-sentence condolence note via EU representative Javier =
Solana.=20

        "I condemn in the strongest terms the terrorist attacks in =
Beersheba today," he wrote. "I want first of all to express my sympathy =
and deepest condolences to the families of the victims and to the =
Israeli authorities. Violence must stop. It seriously undermines all =
efforts to find a solution to the Middle East conflict. The =
implementation of the road map is the only way ahead."
      Note well: Solana condemns "terrorist attacks," but does not name =
its perpetrators. He says "violence must stop," without addressing the =
source of this particular violence. He offers sympathy for Israeli =
victims and authorities, then prescribes the road map as "the only way =
ahead." But the road map has not saved a single Israeli life. The =
security fence has saved dozens of lives, perhaps hundreds. What kind of =
sympathy is it that would deny victims the means to defend themselves? =
This is more than a rhetorical question. Solana, no doubt, would answer =
that he approves of all means provided they are "legitimate." But we =
search our minds in vain for "legitimate" means to stop terrorism that =
are also effective. In his recently published memoir, former foreign =
minister Shlomo Ben-Ami relates a conversation he had with German =
Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer in late October 2000, after the =
outbreak of hostilities.=20
      "I asked in a harsh tone, for the first time since our talks =
began, to cease to give us advice and to try to enter into Israel's =
skin. 'Please ask your country's military experts, what can be done in =
such a situation? Send your military attache in Tel Aviv to join the OC =
Central Command; maybe he will have a proposal about which we did not =
know,' I said. 'What do you want us to do? Should we evacuate the =
residents of Jerusalem's outlying neighborhoods and send them =
northwards, so that we will not have to respond to Palestinian =
shooting?'"=20

      Ben-Ami does not relate Fischer's response. We wonder if he had =
one. For the plain fact is that Europe's idea of friendship comes down =
to offering Israel simplistic platitudes about the advantages of =
cooperation over conflict (as if this had not occurred to us), not =
practical advice about how a democracy at war ought to operate.=20

      There is something profoundly amiss about a species of condolence =
that offers itself in lieu of the kind of help that might have made the =
condolence unnecessary in the first place. We are perfectly aware that, =
ultimately, the "solution" is peace. The question is, will the European =
Union allow us to defend ourselves in the meantime? Or in defending =
ourselves, do we put the ultimate peace further out of reach? The fact =
that this is presented as a "choice" demonstrates how false it really =
is.=20


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      2.   DISENGAGING FROM ILLUSIONS
      By Yossi Klein Halevi - Jerusalem Post - September 2, 2004=20
      Is the unilateral withdrawal from Gaza a reward for terrorism? Is =
the very talk of withdrawal encouraging terrorism, as several right-wing =
Knesset members insisted after the terrorist atrocity this week in =
Beersheba?=20

      Astonishingly, Israeli society has yet to hold an intelligent =
debate over Ariel Sharon's Gaza plan. Instead, we have the cynical =
taunts of the settlers and their supporters, who assume that Sharon has =
become a defeatist, and the inarticulate responses of Sharon's =
supporters, who assume that the arguments in favor of withdrawal are so =
self-evident that they barely require defense.=20

      In large measure, the poverty of our debate over withdrawal is the =
fault of Sharon himself. A disastrous communicator, Sharon hasn't =
offered a single compelling speech - or, for that matter, a single =
memorable argument - in defense of the trauma we are about to inflict on =
ourselves.=20

      The arguments of opponents need to be treated seriously by those =
of us who support unilateral withdrawal. We need to admit that the =
opponents have a point: The projected scenes of Palestinian celebrations =
on the ruins of Gaza settlements could very well encourage terrorism, at =
least in the short term.=20

      And what do we do when the missiles start falling on Ashkelon? =
What will we have gained by destroying thriving communities, dividing =
Israeli society, and embittering some of our most idealistic citizens? =
The most obvious answer as to what we will gain is what we will lose: We =
will be freeing ourselves from more than a million Palestinians.=20

      For Sharon's opponents, though, the demographic gain of withdrawal =
isn't obvious at all. The demographic argument, they insist, is bogus: =
Israel has no intention of granting citizenship to Palestinians, so they =
pose no demographic threat.=20

      But what opponents fail to understand is that in the 21st century, =
Israel doesn't have the luxury of indefinitely maintaining the status =
quo - or of granting "autonomy" to Palestinians, a position once =
vehemently opposed by settlers.=20

      Instead, we have the following choice: continue to keep the =
Palestinians in limbo and turn Israel into an international pariah, the =
target of a campaign to become a bi-national state. However isolated we =
are today, we haven't yet become a pariah, and the still-intact Israeli =
economy is proof of that. For some settlers, the notion of Israel as =
pariah is hardly disconcerting but, instead, confirms Jewish chosenness. =
Yet the vision of the biblical Balaam of "a nation that shall dwell =
alone" is the antithesis of Zionism, which intended to restore us not =
only to the Land of Israel but to the community of nations. For =
Zionists, Balaam's vision isn't a blessing but the curse he intended it =
to be.=20

      The second counter-demographic argument settlers raise is that =
withdrawal from Gaza does nothing to address the demographic dangers =
posed by Arab Israelis. Yet it makes no sense to demographically destroy =
the Jewish state now because, in a generation, we may face a demographic =
crisis within the 1967 borders. There are ways of dealing with that =
future threat: For example, the Triangle, which contains Israel's most =
fundamentalist Muslim population and borders the West Bank, could be =
ceded to a Palestinian state. According to every poll I have seen, a =
majority of Israelis agree that we shouldn't remain indefinitely in =
Gaza. Sharon needs to hold a national referendum to decisively refute =
settlers' contention that "the nation is with Gush Katif" as the =
pro-Gaza slogan puts it.=20

      Where Israelis are, legitimately, divided is over how and when to =
withdraw. If we withdraw under fire, we risk repeating the disastrous =
miscalculation of Israel's flight from southern Lebanon, which directly =
encouraged the present terror war.=20

      But this time we are not fleeing from victorious terror. Despite =
the Beersheba attack, the army and security services have been =
remarkably successful in deterring the terrorists. The time to =
unilaterally withdraw is precisely when we have managed to control =
terror. If terrorism returns to the level we endured before Operation =
Defensive Shield, the timing of the withdrawal would have to be =
reconsidered. So far, though, that is not the case.=20

      Unilateral withdrawal holds one clear gain for Arafat and Hamas =
leaders: the chance to prove to their own demoralized people that terror =
works. But it also holds one potentially devastating disadvantage: If =
Gaza implodes after Israeli withdrawal, the Palestinian national =
movement could self-destruct.=20

      Nor are the Palestinians oblivious to the political gains Israel =
may achieve from withdrawal. The very promise of withdrawal has already =
won Israel a historic American concession: The recent administration =
decision to accept Israel's building in settlement blocs - the first =
time since 1967 that America has endorsed Israel's right to build over =
the Green Line - is a direct result of Sharon's withdrawal initiative.=20

      And if missiles start falling on Ashkelon and we need to return to =
Gaza? Then we will hit back - state against state, rather than occupying =
army against an occupied people. Optimally, we will reach a similar =
balance of terror with Gaza that we've achieved, at least for now, in =
the north with Hizbullah, whose missiles can reportedly reach Tel Aviv.=20

      And as for the argument that Sharon's plan is responsible for the =
murders in Beersheba - spare us the demagoguery. Don't expect us to =
believe that Hamas is blowing up buses now, as opposed to blowing up =
buses, say, in 1996 or 2003, because Sharon has decided to withdraw from =
Gaza.=20

      Politically, this isn't the 1990s. Sharon isn't Rabin or Peres, =
who would use terror attacks as justification for redoubling =
negotiations. Nor is Sharon promising peace in our time. We are =
withdrawing not to further peace negotiations, but because there is no =
peace to be negotiated. This isn't a withdrawal of illusions but a =
withdrawal from illusions - the illusions of Greater Israel and of Peace =
Now.=20

      We need to articulate our positions without patronizing or =
contempt. That is the least we owe each other as fellow Israelis who =
will pay the price for whatever policy prevails.=20

        The writer is the Israel correspondent for the New Republic and =
an associate fellow at the Shalem Center.

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      3.   LOOK WHO WANTS BUSH TO LOSE
      By Michael Freund - Jerusalem Post - August 31, 2004=20
      The excitement is palpable. You can almost feel it in the air. The =
dictators of the Arab world just can't wait for George W. Bush to lose =
the US presidential election in November.=20

      Gripped with fear as they watch Bush's democratic experiment in =
Iraq take shape, the tyrants and despots of the Middle East are pinning =
their hopes on Democratic challenger John Kerry to prevail.=20

      After all, the last thing they want to see is a second-term Bush =
determined to reform the region, a development that would threaten their =
grip on power and stymie their efforts to obtain more lethal types of =
weaponry.=20

      And so the rhetoric in the Arab world is heating up, pointing to a =
real desire to see the US president go down in defeat.=20

      Take, for example, a recent article in the Egyptian Al-Ahram =
Weekly (August 12-18 issue) by Cairo University's Prof. Hassan Nafaa. =
Bush, he wrote, is a "wild eyed zealot" and an "evil fanatic" whose =
"departure from the Oval Office will mark the beginning of the decline =
of the forces of extremism and the rise of the forces of moderation."=20

      A Kerry victory, Prof. Nafaa says, barely containing his glee, =
would mean that "US foreign policy will undergo a major shift that will =
ultimately impact positively on Washington's approach to the affairs of =
the Middle East."=20

      In other words, a Kerry administration would be far more compliant =
as far as the Arabs are concerned.=20

      An August 4 editorial in the Syria Times expressed a similar =
sentiment, urging Arab-Americans not to make "the very mistake they made =
in the past when they gave their votes to Bush the Junior" in the 2000 =
presidential election. Instead, suggested the government-run paper, a =
vote for Kerry this time would prove to be "a wise one."=20

      Judging by their leadership, the Palestinians seem to feel the =
same way, with Yasser Arafat said to be among those who is rooting for a =
Democratic victory.=20

      "Arafat is waiting for November in the hope that George Bush will =
lose the election to John Kerry," Israel's military intelligence chief =
Maj.Gen. Aharon Ze'evi Farkash told a cabinet meeting just over a month =
ago.=20

      Following Arafat's lead, the official Palestinian media has made =
no effort to hide where its sympathies lie. On July 27, the Palestinian =
Authority daily Al-Hayat Al-Jadeeda, for example, ran a political =
cartoon depicting an American soldier bleeding to death in Iraq, his =
final words being, "Don't Vote Bush."=20

      And then, of course, there is Iran. The mullahs, whom Bush =
famously labeled part of the "Axis of Evil" in his January 2002 State of =
the Union Address, are also panting at the prospect of a Republican =
defeat.=20

      Just last week, on a visit to New Zealand, Iranian Foreign =
Minister Kamal Kharrazi said that the US government was "looking for =
excuses" to act against Iran over its nuclear ambitions.=20

      A June 17 article in the English-language Tehran Times entitled =
"Pity the Next US President" was even more critical, comparing Bush and =
his neo-conservative advisers to "neo-Nazis" who have created a =
"stinking heap of a mess" throughout the world. "Kerry," the paper =
asserts, "is exactly what the US needs right now."=20

      That the prospect of a Kerry presidency is evoking so much =
enthusiasm in the terror capitals of Damascus, Ramallah and Teheran is =
reason enough for Americans, and especially American Jews, to think =
twice before supporting the Democratic candidate.=20

      Why, after all, would Arafat, Bashar Assad and the ayatollahs want =
to see Kerry elected if they didn't have good reason to believe he would =
go soft on terror?=20

      To be fair, Kerry has sought to dispel this image, taking a slap =
at the Saudi royal family in his acceptance speech at the Democratic =
National Convention last month and subsequently criticizing President =
Bush for not imposing tougher sanctions on the Syrian regime.=20

      But these statements did little to dispel the notion throughout =
the Arab world that Kerry is "their man." As Martin Sieff, United Press =
International's senior news analyst, recently pointed out, no one in the =
Arab world "really thinks Bush will change: And that is why so many old =
or former friends of the United States in the Arab world are praying for =
his defeat."=20

      Nonetheless, it seems, a majority of American Jews continue to =
lean toward Kerry, as a recent poll by the National Jewish Democratic =
Council is said to have found. According to the survey, an astonishing =
75 percent of US Jews back the Massachusetts Senator, while just 22 =
percent support Bush.=20

      With the election just two months away, now would be a good time =
for America, and particularly its Jews, to start thinking long and hard =
about the choice they face in November.=20

      Because if the ayatollahs are banking on Kerry to win, that =
certainly cannot be the right way to go.=20

        The writer served as deputy director of Communications & Policy =
Planning in the prime minister's office under Binyamin Netanyahu.

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      4.   THE AIPAC KERFUFFLE
      Jerusalem Post Editorial - August 29, 2004=20
      Spy. Israel. Pentagon. AIPAC. Pollard. Iraq. Iran. Mix these words =
together and you have quite a story on the weekend before the Republican =
convention in a hotly contested election campaign. The question is =
whether the smell that is in the air is that of a spy scandal or of a =
Washington political and policy war run amok.=20

      On Friday, anonymous FBI officials leaked aspects of an ongoing =
investigation of Larry Franklin, a mid-level Pentagon official =
specializing in Iran. Franklin reportedly shared a draft memo on Iran =
policy with staff from AIPAC, an organization that lobbies to strengthen =
the already close relations between America and Israel. Those staffers =
reportedly "may" have passed that information on to Israel.=20

      We are told that the FBI has been investigating Franklin for a =
year, giving the impression of heft to the story. But as our news pages =
reveal today, the two AIPAC staffers who are the supposed conduits for =
Franklin's information have not even been interviewed by the FBI. It can =
further be assumed that no Israelis have been interviewed either, making =
one wonder how much substance is behind both the Franklin-AIPAC link and =
the assumption that the information went further. Finally, the story =
itself has been watered down in many quarters from handing over =
classified information to "mishandling documents."=20

      We, of course, do not know whether Franklin did inappropriately =
release classified information. American authorities have every right to =
find out, and if he did, to punish him accordingly.=20

      We do know that Israel and the United States, as two countries on =
the front line in the struggle against militant Islamism should, =
routinely and officially share intelligence of the most sensitive =
nature. We do know that the idea of painting routine exchanges of =
information between Israel and the United States as sinister, or tinged =
with espionage, is itself sinister.=20

      Let us not, as the media, be naive. There are two parallel and =
bitter struggles raging in Washington, now reaching a crescendo. One is =
between Democrats and Republicans over control of the White House. A spy =
scandal at this time obviously harms the incumbent's chances of getting =
his message out in the main week set aside for doing so, the week of the =
Republican convention.=20

      At the same time, there is an equally passionate and closely =
related struggle within the Bush Administration and outside over the =
president's post-9/11 foreign policy. Was ousting Saddam Hussein a =
critical centerpiece of the wider war or a festering mistake? Should =
Iran's nuclear weapons program be stopped and if so how? These debates =
have swirled around a handful of officials, all of whom are "pro-Israel" =
and some of whom are Jews.=20

      It should not be surprising that the greatest overhaul in American =
foreign policy thinking since Harry Truman introduced containment after =
World War II would meet with resistance. There is ample room for debate =
over how aggressively and by what means the new doctrine of preemption =
and the new focus against state support for terrorism and for =
democratization should be implemented. But rather than fight these =
issues on the merits, the other side has at times stooped to conspiracy =
theories that are, let's face it - anti-Semitic.=20

      There may be substance behind the current scandal. Yet even in the =
most incriminating scenario, it is hard to imagine that the information =
released about US policy was that far removed from what appears in a =
serious newspaper. The more likely scenario is, as Newsweek quotes =
knowledgeable officials, "the political damage to Bush and the Pentagon =
may prove to be more serious than the damage to national security."=20

      Actually, this scandal does threaten US national security in a =
different way: by emboldening those who believe that the entire =
post-9/11 American paradigm is a Jewish conspiracy imposed on the =
president, and who relish the prospect of a chill in the US-Israeli =
relationship.=20

      AIPAC ends its statement on the current controversy thus: "We will =
not let any innuendo or false allegation distract us from our central =
mission - supporting America's interests in the Middle East and =
advocating for a strong relationship with Israel."=20

      Well said. Come what may, American and Israeli security demands =
that we not succumb to those who view our alliance as a conspiracy and =
our shared democratic cause as a threat.=20

      5.   QUOTES AND QUICK NOTES
        "They went into the soft belly of Israel where the fence has not =
been erected. The ultimate truth for the necessity of the fence was =
given today: Wherever there's no fence, it's easy to penetrate into =
Israel."
      --Gideon Meir, a senior Israeli Foreign Ministry official, =
commenting on the necessity of the security barrier.=20

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      6.   HIGHLIGHT ARTICLES
        a.. Schools of Darkness  So thanks to German and American =
foreign aid, Palestinian children learn that Beersheba is a town to be =
liberated by killing Israelis.=20

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            Issue!</FONT> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Friday, September 3,=20
            2004</FONT></B>=20
            <P><STRONG>
            <OL>
              <LI><A href=3D"#1">SOLANA'S SOLICITUDE</A>=20
              <LI><A href=3D"#2">DISENGAGING FROM ILLUSIONS</A>=20
              <LI><A href=3D"#3">LOOK WHO WANTS BUSH TO LOSE</A>=20
              <LI><A href=3D"#4">THE <I>AIPAC</I> KERFUFFLE</A>=20
              <LI><A href=3D"#5">QUOTES AND QUICK NOTES</A>=20
              <LI><A href=3D"#6">HIGHLIGHT ARTICLES</A>=20
        </LI></OL></STRONG></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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      <H2 align=3Dcenter><A =
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      Israel Referendum Campaign:<BR>NO "Palestinian" State</A></H2>
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value=3DY name=3Dt3>=20
            <INPUT type=3Dhidden value=3D1 name=3Dsrc> <INPUT =
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      <H3>1. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D1>SOLANA'S =
SOLICITUDE</A></H3>Jerusalem Post=20
      Editorial - August 31, 2004=20
      <P><FONT color=3D#800000 size=3D+2>T</FONT>he tragic fact of =
yesterday's=20
      double suicide bus bombings in Beersheba is that 16 people lost =
their=20
      lives, and another 15 nearly did. The significant fact is that =
this is the=20
      first suicide bombing since March. If the bombing marks the end of =
a=20
      remarkably long quiet spell, it also indicates the progress we =
have=20
      achieved.=20
      <P>Let's remind ourselves =96 or rather, the wider world =96 of =
where we were=20
      30 months ago, on the eve of Operation Defensive Shield: terrorist =
attacks=20
      nearly every day, sometimes twice a day. Yet when Israel launched =
its=20
      invasion of the West Bank, the sage men of the world assured us it =
would=20
      fail. "For Mr. Sharon," sniffed New York Times columnist Nicholas =
Kristof,=20
      "tanks seem to work no better in the West Bank than they did in =
Lebanon."=20
      <P>As it turned out, however, the tanks did work, as did the =
targeted=20
      assassinations and all the other counter-terror and =
counter-insurgency=20
      tactics developed by the IDF and Shin Bet. So too did the security =
fence:=20
      The telling fact about yesterday's attack is that the attackers =
arrived in=20
      Beersheba from Hebron, unimpeded by the fence. Had the fence been =
there,=20
      it's doubtful they would have penetrated.=20
      <P>By now, it's too late for the International Court of Justice to =
take=20
      this fact into consideration =96 not that they would have done so =
anyway.=20
      It's also too late for the European Union, which instead offered =
Israel a=20
      five-sentence condolence note via EU representative Javier Solana. =

      <BLOCKQUOTE><I>"I condemn in the strongest terms the terrorist =
attacks=20
        in Beersheba today," he wrote. "I want first of all to express =
my=20
        sympathy and deepest condolences to the families of the victims =
and to=20
        the Israeli authorities. Violence must stop. It seriously =
undermines all=20
        efforts to find a solution to the Middle East conflict. The=20
        implementation of the road map is the only way=20
      ahead."</I></BLOCKQUOTE>Note well: Solana condemns "terrorist =
attacks,"=20
      but does not name its perpetrators. He says "violence must stop," =
without=20
      addressing the source of this particular violence. He offers =
sympathy for=20
      Israeli victims and authorities, then prescribes the road map as =
"the only=20
      way ahead." But the road map has not saved a single Israeli life. =
The=20
      security fence has saved dozens of lives, perhaps hundreds. What =
kind of=20
      sympathy is it that would deny victims the means to defend =
themselves?=20
      This is more than a rhetorical question. Solana, no doubt, would =
answer=20
      that he approves of all means provided they are "legitimate." But =
we=20
      search our minds in vain for "legitimate" means to stop terrorism =
that are=20
      also effective. In his recently published memoir, former foreign =
minister=20
      Shlomo Ben-Ami relates a conversation he had with German Foreign =
Minister=20
      Joschka Fischer in late October 2000, after the outbreak of =
hostilities.=20
      <P>"I asked in a harsh tone, for the first time since our talks =
began, to=20
      cease to give us advice and to try to enter into Israel's skin. =
'Please=20
      ask your country's military experts, what can be done in such a =
situation?=20
      Send your military attache in Tel Aviv to join the OC Central =
Command;=20
      maybe he will have a proposal about which we did not know,' I =
said. 'What=20
      do you want us to do? Should we evacuate the residents of =
Jerusalem's=20
      outlying neighborhoods and send them northwards, so that we will =
not have=20
      to respond to Palestinian shooting?'"=20
      <P>Ben-Ami does not relate Fischer's response. We wonder if he had =
one.=20
      For the plain fact is that Europe's idea of friendship comes down =
to=20
      offering Israel simplistic platitudes about the advantages of =
cooperation=20
      over conflict (as if this had not occurred to us), not practical =
advice=20
      about how a democracy at war ought to operate.=20
      <P>There is something profoundly amiss about a species of =
condolence that=20
      offers itself in lieu of the kind of help that might have made the =

      condolence unnecessary in the first place. We are perfectly aware =
that,=20
      ultimately, the "solution" is peace. The question is, will the =
European=20
      Union allow us to defend ourselves in the meantime? Or in =
defending=20
      ourselves, do we put the ultimate peace further out of reach? The =
fact=20
      that this is presented as a "choice" demonstrates how false it =
really is.=20
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      <H3>2. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D2>DISENGAGING FROM =
ILLUSIONS</A></H3>By Yossi=20
      Klein Halevi - Jerusalem Post - September 2, 2004=20
      <P><FONT color=3D#800000 size=3D+2>I</FONT>s the unilateral =
withdrawal from=20
      Gaza a reward for terrorism? Is the very talk of withdrawal =
encouraging=20
      terrorism, as several right-wing Knesset members insisted after =
the=20
      terrorist atrocity this week in Beersheba?=20
      <P>Astonishingly, Israeli society has yet to hold an intelligent =
debate=20
      over Ariel Sharon's Gaza plan. Instead, we have the cynical taunts =
of the=20
      settlers and their supporters, who assume that Sharon has become a =

      defeatist, and the inarticulate responses of Sharon's supporters, =
who=20
      assume that the arguments in favor of withdrawal are so =
self-evident that=20
      they barely require defense.=20
      <P>In large measure, the poverty of our debate over withdrawal is =
the=20
      fault of Sharon himself. A disastrous communicator, Sharon hasn't =
offered=20
      a single compelling speech - or, for that matter, a single =
memorable=20
      argument - in defense of the trauma we are about to inflict on =
ourselves.=20
      <P>The arguments of opponents need to be treated seriously by =
those of us=20
      who support unilateral withdrawal. We need to admit that the =
opponents=20
      have a point: The projected scenes of Palestinian celebrations on =
the=20
      ruins of Gaza settlements could very well encourage terrorism, at =
least in=20
      the short term.=20
      <P>And what do we do when the missiles start falling on Ashkelon? =
What=20
      will we have gained by destroying thriving communities, dividing =
Israeli=20
      society, and embittering some of our most idealistic citizens? The =
most=20
      obvious answer as to what we will gain is what we will lose: We =
will be=20
      freeing ourselves from more than a million Palestinians.=20
      <P>For Sharon's opponents, though, the demographic gain of =
withdrawal=20
      isn't obvious at all. The demographic argument, they insist, is =
bogus:=20
      Israel has no intention of granting citizenship to Palestinians, =
so they=20
      pose no demographic threat.=20
      <P>But what opponents fail to understand is that in the 21st =
century,=20
      Israel doesn't have the luxury of indefinitely maintaining the =
status quo=20
      - or of granting "autonomy" to Palestinians, a position once =
vehemently=20
      opposed by settlers.=20
      <P>Instead, we have the following choice: continue to keep the=20
      Palestinians in limbo and turn Israel into an international =
pariah, the=20
      target of a campaign to become a bi-national state. However =
isolated we=20
      are today, we haven't yet become a pariah, and the still-intact =
Israeli=20
      economy is proof of that. For some settlers, the notion of Israel =
as=20
      pariah is hardly disconcerting but, instead, confirms Jewish =
chosenness.=20
      Yet the vision of the biblical Balaam of "a nation that shall =
dwell alone"=20
      is the antithesis of Zionism, which intended to restore us not =
only to the=20
      Land of Israel but to the community of nations. For Zionists, =
Balaam's=20
      vision isn't a blessing but the curse he intended it to be.=20
      <P>The second counter-demographic argument settlers raise is that=20
      withdrawal from Gaza does nothing to address the demographic =
dangers posed=20
      by Arab Israelis. Yet it makes no sense to demographically destroy =
the=20
      Jewish state now because, in a generation, we may face a =
demographic=20
      crisis within the 1967 borders. There are ways of dealing with =
that future=20
      threat: For example, the Triangle, which contains Israel's most=20
      fundamentalist Muslim population and borders the West Bank, could =
be ceded=20
      to a Palestinian state. According to every poll I have seen, a =
majority of=20
      Israelis agree that we shouldn't remain indefinitely in Gaza. =
Sharon needs=20
      to hold a national referendum to decisively refute settlers' =
contention=20
      that "the nation is with Gush Katif" as the pro-Gaza slogan puts =
it.=20
      <P>Where Israelis are, legitimately, divided is over how and when =
to=20
      withdraw. If we withdraw under fire, we risk repeating the =
disastrous=20
      miscalculation of Israel's flight from southern Lebanon, which =
directly=20
      encouraged the present terror war.=20
      <P>But this time we are not fleeing from victorious terror. =
Despite the=20
      Beersheba attack, the army and security services have been =
remarkably=20
      successful in deterring the terrorists. The time to unilaterally =
withdraw=20
      is precisely when we have managed to control terror. If terrorism =
returns=20
      to the level we endured before Operation Defensive Shield, the =
timing of=20
      the withdrawal would have to be reconsidered. So far, though, that =
is not=20
      the case.=20
      <P>Unilateral withdrawal holds one clear gain for Arafat and Hamas =

      leaders: the chance to prove to their own demoralized people that =
terror=20
      works. But it also holds one potentially devastating disadvantage: =
If Gaza=20
      implodes after Israeli withdrawal, the Palestinian national =
movement could=20
      self-destruct.=20
      <P>Nor are the Palestinians oblivious to the political gains =
Israel may=20
      achieve from withdrawal. The very promise of withdrawal has =
already won=20
      Israel a historic American concession: The recent administration =
decision=20
      to accept Israel's building in settlement blocs - the first time =
since=20
      1967 that America has endorsed Israel's right to build over the =
Green Line=20
      - is a direct result of Sharon's withdrawal initiative.=20
      <P>And if missiles start falling on Ashkelon and we need to return =
to=20
      Gaza? Then we will hit back - state against state, rather than =
occupying=20
      army against an occupied people. Optimally, we will reach a =
similar=20
      balance of terror with Gaza that we've achieved, at least for now, =
in the=20
      north with Hizbullah, whose missiles can reportedly reach Tel =
Aviv.=20
      <P>And as for the argument that Sharon's plan is responsible for =
the=20
      murders in Beersheba - spare us the demagoguery. Don't expect us =
to=20
      believe that Hamas is blowing up buses now, as opposed to blowing =
up=20
      buses, say, in 1996 or 2003, because Sharon has decided to =
withdraw from=20
      Gaza.=20
      <P>Politically, this isn't the 1990s. Sharon isn't Rabin or Peres, =
who=20
      would use terror attacks as justification for redoubling =
negotiations. Nor=20
      is Sharon promising peace in our time. We are withdrawing not to =
further=20
      peace negotiations, but because there is no peace to be =
negotiated. This=20
      isn't a withdrawal of illusions but a withdrawal from illusions - =
the=20
      illusions of Greater Israel and of Peace Now.=20
      <P>We need to articulate our positions without patronizing or =
contempt.=20
      That is the least we owe each other as fellow Israelis who will =
pay the=20
      price for whatever policy prevails.=20
      <BLOCKQUOTE><FONT size=3D-2><STRONG>The writer is the Israel =
correspondent=20
        for the New Republic and an associate fellow at the Shalem=20
        Center.</STRONG></FONT></BLOCKQUOTE>
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      <H3>3. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D3>LOOK WHO WANTS BUSH TO =
LOSE</A></H3>By=20
      Michael Freund - Jerusalem Post - August 31, 2004=20
      <P><FONT color=3D#800000 size=3D+2>T</FONT>he excitement is =
palpable. You can=20
      almost feel it in the air. The dictators of the Arab world just =
can't wait=20
      for George W. Bush to lose the US presidential election in =
November.=20
      <P>Gripped with fear as they watch Bush's democratic experiment in =
Iraq=20
      take shape, the tyrants and despots of the Middle East are pinning =
their=20
      hopes on Democratic challenger John Kerry to prevail.=20
      <P>After all, the last thing they want to see is a second-term =
Bush=20
      determined to reform the region, a development that would threaten =
their=20
      grip on power and stymie their efforts to obtain more lethal types =
of=20
      weaponry.=20
      <P>And so the rhetoric in the Arab world is heating up, pointing =
to a real=20
      desire to see the US president go down in defeat.=20
      <P>Take, for example, a recent article in the Egyptian Al-Ahram =
Weekly=20
      (August 12-18 issue) by Cairo University's Prof. Hassan Nafaa. =
Bush, he=20
      wrote, is a "wild eyed zealot" and an "evil fanatic" whose =
"departure from=20
      the Oval Office will mark the beginning of the decline of the =
forces of=20
      extremism and the rise of the forces of moderation."=20
      <P>A Kerry victory, Prof. Nafaa says, barely containing his glee, =
would=20
      mean that "US foreign policy will undergo a major shift that will=20
      ultimately impact positively on Washington's approach to the =
affairs of=20
      the Middle East."=20
      <P>In other words, a Kerry administration would be far more =
compliant as=20
      far as the Arabs are concerned.=20
      <P>An August 4 editorial in the Syria Times expressed a similar =
sentiment,=20
      urging Arab-Americans not to make "the very mistake they made in =
the past=20
      when they gave their votes to Bush the Junior" in the 2000 =
presidential=20
      election. Instead, suggested the government-run paper, a vote for =
Kerry=20
      this time would prove to be "a wise one."=20
      <P>Judging by their leadership, the Palestinians seem to feel the =
same=20
      way, with Yasser Arafat said to be among those who is rooting for =
a=20
      Democratic victory.=20
      <P>"Arafat is waiting for November in the hope that George Bush =
will lose=20
      the election to John Kerry," Israel's military intelligence chief =
Maj.Gen.=20
      Aharon Ze'evi Farkash told a cabinet meeting just over a month =
ago.=20
      <P>Following Arafat's lead, the official Palestinian media has =
made no=20
      effort to hide where its sympathies lie. On July 27, the =
Palestinian=20
      Authority daily Al-Hayat Al-Jadeeda, for example, ran a political =
cartoon=20
      depicting an American soldier bleeding to death in Iraq, his final =
words=20
      being, "Don't Vote Bush."=20
      <P>And then, of course, there is Iran. The mullahs, whom Bush =
famously=20
      labeled part of the "Axis of Evil" in his January 2002 State of =
the Union=20
      Address, are also panting at the prospect of a Republican defeat.=20
      <P>Just last week, on a visit to New Zealand, Iranian Foreign =
Minister=20
      Kamal Kharrazi said that the US government was "looking for =
excuses" to=20
      act against Iran over its nuclear ambitions.=20
      <P>A June 17 article in the English-language Tehran Times entitled =
"Pity=20
      the Next US President" was even more critical, comparing Bush and =
his=20
      neo-conservative advisers to "neo-Nazis" who have created a =
"stinking heap=20
      of a mess" throughout the world. "Kerry," the paper asserts, "is =
exactly=20
      what the US needs right now."=20
      <P>That the prospect of a Kerry presidency is evoking so much =
enthusiasm=20
      in the terror capitals of Damascus, Ramallah and Teheran is reason =
enough=20
      for Americans, and especially American Jews, to think twice before =

      supporting the Democratic candidate.=20
      <P>Why, after all, would Arafat, Bashar Assad and the ayatollahs =
want to=20
      see Kerry elected if they didn't have good reason to believe he =
would go=20
      soft on terror?=20
      <P>To be fair, Kerry has sought to dispel this image, taking a =
slap at the=20
      Saudi royal family in his acceptance speech at the Democratic =
National=20
      Convention last month and subsequently criticizing President Bush =
for not=20
      imposing tougher sanctions on the Syrian regime.=20
      <P>But these statements did little to dispel the notion throughout =
the=20
      Arab world that Kerry is "their man." As Martin Sieff, United =
Press=20
      International's senior news analyst, recently pointed out, no one =
in the=20
      Arab world "really thinks Bush will change: And that is why so =
many old or=20
      former friends of the United States in the Arab world are praying =
for his=20
      defeat."=20
      <P>Nonetheless, it seems, a majority of American Jews continue to =
lean=20
      toward Kerry, as a recent poll by the National Jewish Democratic =
Council=20
      is said to have found. According to the survey, an astonishing 75 =
percent=20
      of US Jews back the Massachusetts Senator, while just 22 percent =
support=20
      Bush.=20
      <P>With the election just two months away, now would be a good =
time for=20
      America, and particularly its Jews, to start thinking long and =
hard about=20
      the choice they face in November.=20
      <P>Because if the ayatollahs are banking on Kerry to win, that =
certainly=20
      cannot be the right way to go.=20
      <BLOCKQUOTE><FONT size=3D-2><STRONG>The writer served as deputy =
director=20
        of Communications &amp; Policy Planning in the prime minister's =
office=20
        under Binyamin Netanyahu.</STRONG></FONT></BLOCKQUOTE>
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      <H3>4. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D4>THE <I>AIPAC</I> =
KERFUFFLE</A></H3>Jerusalem=20
      Post Editorial - August 29, 2004=20
      <P><FONT color=3D#800000 size=3D+2>S</FONT><B>py. Israel. =
Pentagon. AIPAC.=20
      Pollard. Iraq. Iran.</B> Mix these words together and you have =
quite a=20
      story on the weekend before the Republican convention in a hotly =
contested=20
      election campaign. The question is whether the smell that is in =
the air is=20
      that of a spy scandal or of a Washington political and policy war =
run=20
      amok.=20
      <P>On Friday, anonymous FBI officials leaked aspects of an ongoing =

      investigation of Larry Franklin, a mid-level Pentagon official=20
      specializing in Iran. Franklin reportedly shared a draft memo on =
Iran=20
      policy with staff from AIPAC, an organization that lobbies to =
strengthen=20
      the already close relations between America and Israel. Those =
staffers=20
      reportedly "may" have passed that information on to Israel.=20
      <P>We are told that the FBI has been investigating Franklin for a =
year,=20
      giving the impression of heft to the story. But as our news pages =
reveal=20
      today, the two AIPAC staffers who are the supposed conduits for =
Franklin's=20
      information have not even been interviewed by the FBI. It can =
further be=20
      assumed that no Israelis have been interviewed either, making one =
wonder=20
      how much substance is behind both the Franklin-AIPAC link and the=20
      assumption that the information went further. Finally, the story =
itself=20
      has been watered down in many quarters from handing over =
classified=20
      information to "mishandling documents."=20
      <P>We, of course, do not know whether Franklin did inappropriately =
release=20
      classified information. American authorities have every right to =
find out,=20
      and if he did, to punish him accordingly.=20
      <P>We do know that Israel and the United States, as two countries =
on the=20
      front line in the struggle against militant Islamism should, =
routinely and=20
      officially share intelligence of the most sensitive nature. We do =
know=20
      that the idea of painting routine exchanges of information between =
Israel=20
      and the United States as sinister, or tinged with espionage, is =
itself=20
      sinister.=20
      <P>Let us not, as the media, be naive. There are two parallel and =
bitter=20
      struggles raging in Washington, now reaching a crescendo. One is =
between=20
      Democrats and Republicans over control of the White House. A spy =
scandal=20
      at this time obviously harms the incumbent's chances of getting =
his=20
      message out in the main week set aside for doing so, the week of =
the=20
      Republican convention.=20
      <P>At the same time, there is an equally passionate and closely =
related=20
      struggle within the Bush Administration and outside over the =
president's=20
      post-9/11 foreign policy. Was ousting Saddam Hussein a critical=20
      centerpiece of the wider war or a festering mistake? Should Iran's =
nuclear=20
      weapons program be stopped and if so how? These debates have =
swirled=20
      around a handful of officials, all of whom are "pro-Israel" and =
some of=20
      whom are Jews.=20
      <P>It should not be surprising that the greatest overhaul in =
American=20
      foreign policy thinking since Harry Truman introduced containment =
after=20
      World War II would meet with resistance. There is ample room for =
debate=20
      over how aggressively and by what means the new doctrine of =
preemption and=20
      the new focus against state support for terrorism and for =
democratization=20
      should be implemented. But rather than fight these issues on the =
merits,=20
      the other side has at times stooped to conspiracy theories that =
are, let's=20
      face it =96 anti-Semitic.=20
      <P>There may be substance behind the current scandal. Yet even in =
the most=20
      incriminating scenario, it is hard to imagine that the information =

      released about US policy was that far removed from what appears in =
a=20
      serious newspaper. The more likely scenario is, as Newsweek quotes =

      knowledgeable officials, "the political damage to Bush and the =
Pentagon=20
      may prove to be more serious than the damage to national =
security."=20
      <P>Actually, this scandal does threaten US national security in a=20
      different way: by emboldening those who believe that the entire =
post-9/11=20
      American paradigm is a Jewish conspiracy imposed on the president, =
and who=20
      relish the prospect of a chill in the US-Israeli relationship.=20
      <P>AIPAC ends its statement on the current controversy thus: "We =
will not=20
      let any innuendo or false allegation distract us from our central =
mission=20
      =96 supporting America's interests in the Middle East and =
advocating for a=20
      strong relationship with Israel."=20
      <P>Well said. Come what may, American and Israeli security demands =
that we=20
      not succumb to those who view our alliance as a conspiracy and our =
shared=20
      democratic cause as a threat.=20
      <H3>5. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D5>QUOTES AND QUICK NOTES</A></H3>
      <BLOCKQUOTE><STRONG><I>=93They went into the soft belly of Israel =
where=20
        the fence has not been erected. The ultimate truth for the =
necessity of=20
        the fence was given today: Wherever there's no fence, it's easy =
to=20
        penetrate into Israel.=94</I></STRONG></BLOCKQUOTE>--Gideon =
Meir, a senior=20
      Israeli Foreign Ministry official, commenting on the necessity of =
the=20
      security barrier.=20
      <CENTER>
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      <H3>6. &nbsp;&nbsp;<A name=3D6>HIGHLIGHT ARTICLES</A></H3>
      <UL><STRONG>
        <LI><A=20
        =
href=3D"http://christianactionforisrael.org/isreport/julaug04/schools.htm=
l">Schools=20
        of Darkness</A> &nbsp;<FONT color=3D#4b4549 size=3D-1>So thanks =
to German=20
        and American foreign aid, Palestinian children learn that =
Beersheba is a=20
        town to be liberated by killing Israelis.</FONT> =
</STRONG></LI></UL>
      <CENTER>
      <HR width=3D350 color=3D#4d658a>
      </CENTER>
      <BLOCKQUOTE><STRONG><FONT size=3D-1>NOTICE: We make EVERY effort =
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href=3D"http://christianactionforisrael.org/donations.html">http://christ=
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