[AGL] election talk

[Michael Eisenstadt]

Here’s an anecdote. My mother (1898-1979) taught 1-6 grades in a NYC 
Bored of Education school for 39 years. She told me that in the first 
grades, her black students were just as promising as the non-blacks but 
that the black kids turned off that track somewhere around the age of 7 
or 8. She retired around 1960.

The anecdote implies that it is the social culture of blacks that is a 
great part of their and our problem. What is the accomodation the rest 
of the country is duty-bound to make? I remember Martha Hartzog getting 
a gig in a Fed. program to subscribe black families to magazines way 
back in the ’70s. The talented tenth of W.B.Dubois has become the 30% of 
high functioning black citizens. In principle, Trump should get >25% of 
the black vote, >35% of the Hispanic vote. The Trafalgar Group polling – 
they correctly predicted 2016 – has Trump losing Pennsylvania and 
Wisconsin but winning Michigan and Minnesota. Their latest published 
poll of Ohio (Oct. 1 to 3) has Trump comfortably over Biden.

They used to say ‘as Ohio goes, so goes the nation.’ Is Ohio still 
considered a bellwether?